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US Civilian Aircraft Equipment Production Index
(Q4 2022)

Posted on January 6, 2023

Forecast Lifted for 2023, Lowered for 2024 Because of Industry and Macro Trends

US Civilian Aircraft Equipment Production Index is an Index for US establishments primarily engaged in one or more of the following: (1) manufacturing aircraft engines and engine parts; (2) developing and making prototypes of aircraft engines and engine parts; (3) aircraft propulsion system conversion (i.e., major modifications to systems); (4) aircraft propulsion systems overhaul and rebuilding (i.e., periodic restoration of aircraft propulsion system to original design specifications).

ITR Economics has classified this index as being in phase C of the business cycle. Phase C or “Slowing Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is positive, but the rate of growth is declining. We denote this phase with yellow (for caution).

US Civilian Aircraft Equipment Production will continue into phase C through Q1 2024 giving way to phase D in Q2 2024. Phase D or “Recession” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is declining, and the rate of growth is negative. We denote this phase with red (for warning).

ITR forecasts the annual growth rate for 2022 at 8.4%, 4.0% in 2023, and -0.6% in 2024.

READ THE FULL Q4 2022 REPORT FROM ITR

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