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US Civilian Aircraft Equipment Production Index
(Q1 2024)

Posted on April 10, 2024

Forecast Lowered; Production and Regulatory Setbacks Plague Industry, but Orders Are Strong

US Civilian Aircraft Equipment Production Index is an Index for US establishments primarily engaged in one or more of the following: (1) manufacturing aircraft engines and engine parts; (2) developing and making prototypes of aircraft engines and engine parts; (3) aircraft propulsion system conversion (i.e., major modifications to systems); (4) aircraft propulsion systems overhaul and rebuilding (i.e., periodic restoration of aircraft propulsion system to original design specifications).

ITR Economics has classified this index as being in phase D of the business cycle. Phase D or “Recession” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is declining, and the rate of growth is negative. We denote this phase with red (for warning).

US Civilian Aircraft Equipment Production will continue in phase D through Q2 2024 giving way to phase B in Q3 2024. Phase B or “Accelerating Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is rising, and the rate of growth is positive. We denote this phase with green (for go).

ITR forecasts the annual growth rate for 2024 at 4.8%, -0.4% in 2025, and 7.0% in 2026.

READ THE FULL Q1 2024 REPORT FROM ITR

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